Barnett clearly has the skills of a top heavyweight. His grappling is some of the most advanced in the division and his striking is enough to keep him competitive with most heavyweights, but when your best win in the past five years is Jeff Monson you simply shouldn't be considered at the top of your weight class.
Anyway, this is a pretty standard striker vs. grappler match up. Rogers would like nothing more to keep this fight standing and try and knock Barnett's head into the third row. Barnett hopes to get this fight to the ground where he can take one of Rogers limbs home with him.
As much as I question Barnett, I question Rogers even more. Barnett should be able to plant him early and work his top game until he finds a submission. Barnett via submission in the second.
Speaking of guys with padded records, Alistair Overeem's best victory at heavyweight is either Brett Rogers or Paul Buentello. The guy has beaten a who's who of crappy fighters over the course of his heavyweight career. The only thing saving him from the Josh Barnett treatment is his K-1 Fighting championship. Being crowned the best kickboxer in the entire world is a serious accomplishment that simply cannot be overlooked.
Fabricio Werdum has always been a top 15 heavyweight but he suddenly found himself thrust into the top five after he defeated Fedor Emelianenko a little under a year ago. Werdum is a gifted grappler with some of the best credentials in the entire sport of mixed martial arts, not just the heavyweight division. His striking is serviceable, as evident by his victory over Antonio Silva.
Unfortunately for Werdum, this fight should be nothing more than the coming out party for Overeem. A victory over Werdum would provide Overeem with the signature win needed for most pundits to add him to their list of top five heavyweights. Overeem is too big, too strong and too skilled to be beaten by Werdum.
The Brazilian really has no chance outside of getting this fight to the ground and I simply don't see that happening. Unless Overeem gets over confident and finds himself in a situation similar to Emelianenko, this should be a one sided beatdown.
Overeem is a K-1 champion. Overeem is too strong to get this fight to the ground. Werdum hasn't fought in nearly a year. Overeem via knockout in the first.