There is something comic-bookish about the upcoming fight between Brock Lesnar and Alistair Overeem scheduled for UFC 141. Each of the two fighters surely resides in the top .0001% of humankind in terms of functional combat strength and mass. Interestingly, if looks could win fights, we would still be uncertain who the champion would be. They are both stunning physical specimens. Promoters and fans love those rippling muscles.
But it will probably be a boring fight.
I do not say that happily. I want the best fight possible. After all, I am a fan too. And I pay money to see it. It is just that the best fights are in the lighter weights. The big guys may "promote" the best. But the small guys fight the best. UFC on Fox should have planned a fight at middle-weight or below. Wait, never mind, the Great White Father does not care what we think. We do not understand what goes on in the "back-rooms", where other Great Fathers plan the programming of the masses. We are just the fans, just "little-people" who do not own Ferraris. Okay, 'nuff said, but do we know a boring fight when we see one? I rather think we do. And when we do, we get to be honest about it. Being little people, we have no need to lie for the marketing department.
There are exceptions to the "boring big guys" judgment. For example, the most recent Frank Mir versus Antonio Nogueira fight, which ended in a shocking arm break. Even so, until Mir pulled that kimora out of the scramble the fight had all the makings of a boring match. Touch-touch-stagger-stagger-fall down-add a few seconds of walrus-mating and it's over. It really is too bad that the chin of Big Country Nelson is so rare. That guy can take it.
The fight odds have Alistair Overeem as the favorite. The conventional wisdom is that Brock Lesnar does not like to get hit, and he has never fought a heavy-weight who can hit him as well as Overeem. This makes a lot of sense until one, employing the lessons of their nearly-forgotten studies in logic, postulates the inverse. Alistair Overeem does not like to wrestle, and has never fought a wrestler who can take him down and/or grind him as well as Lesnar.
This leads us to the "Small-town Hero" problem. You are, say, the best athlete is your middle school. So you play quarterback. You go to high school and discover that you are just one of the best athletes, so you play tight-end. Then, college, and you barely make the practice squad. You get the idea here. No one in Lesnar's camp can do justice to the kickboxing of Alistair Overeem. And no one in Overeem's camp can do justice to the wrestling of Brock Lesnar. Each camp may have good kick-boxers and wrestlers to train with, surely they do. But if they were anything close to these two beasts the heavy-weight division would be much more interesting. My own rule of thumb is this: Whenever a wrestler fights a kick-boxer, bet on the wrestler. However, as MMA evolves that is being challenged. JDS destroyed Cain Velasquez. Now, admittedly, Cain did not look like himself and erred by flinching away from an overhand right, which always gets you hit. (Think of an overhand right like a cresting-wave that a person must dive into, because there is no running/swimming away from it) Ultimately, the fight comes down to whether or not