Tonight marks the first fight card since officially joining the team here at Five Knuckles, and to celebrate the occasion, I'm giving myself a clean slate.
Over the eight months of making picks at Keyboard Kimura (R.I.P. Dear Friend... Gone But Not Forgotten), I was able to amass a record of 143-106-2, which works out to 56.9% accuracy with my picks. Is that great? Of course not, but it's a little better than "Smooth" Jimmy Apollo and there is room to improve.
Said improvements begin here, today, with Strikeforce: Miami. In part to save myself some unnecessary losses, but also because the information available on them is minimal, I'm going to rattle off reasoning for six fights - the five main card bouts and my man Jay Hieron taking on Joe Riggs.
The Breakdown
"The Thoroughbred" Jay Hieron (18-4-0) vs. Joe "Diesel" Riggs (32-11-0, 1 NC)
The winner of this most likely faces the winner of tonight's main event for the Welterweight title. Hieron was promised that same opportunity when he signed with the promotion after the fall of Affliction, and while he's saying all the right things heading into this fight, there is no question that the Xtreme Couture member wants that title shot.
Riggs has the power to knock just about anyone out. The one-time heavyweight (it's true - look it up) looked in solid shape at the weigh-ins (always a concern with Riggs), and will be a difficult challenge for Hieron. Unfortunately, Riggs is kind of trading on his name these days. His last fight with a "name" opponent was a decision over Phil Baroni.
No offense to "The New York Bad Ass," but if you're going a full 15 with a guy who has a notoriously small gas tank, the chances of you emerging victorious over the always well-conditioned Hieron aren't so great.
Hieron is faster, more technical and, perhaps most importantly, hungrier than Riggs, and should be able to come away with a win... and hopefully his long-awaited title shot.
Herschel Walker (N/R) vs. Greg Nagy (1-1-0)
There really isn't much to break down.
Walker is a marketing goldmine making his debut, and Nagy is the guy who will be able to get a free drink or two out of being "the guy who lost to Herschel Walker in his MMA debut." What more do I need to say?
Bobby Lashley (4-0-0) vs. Wes Sims (22-12-1, 2 NC)
The third time was the charm in finding an opponent for the former WWE and current TNA superstar. Unfortunately, "the charm" is Wes Sims, fresh off his appearance as part of TUF 10: The Heavyweights.
Sims is an interesting personality and used to have some promise. Not the use of past tense. Now, he's fresh off a first round submission at the hands of Justin Wren during the "elimination round" of The Ultimate Fighter. In that bout, Wren wrestled Sims to the ground, threw on an arm triangle and had his hand raised.
Bobby Lashley is a better wrestler than Justin Wren. He also carries his 250-plus pounds in a different way than "The Viking," going with more of a muscular approach to Wren's "thick throughout" look.
A little more dangerous than the Herschel Walker fight, but nowhere near "this could be an upset" territory.
Melvin Manhoef (24-6-1) vs. "Ruthless" Robbie Lawler (18-5-0, 1 NC)
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