"The Ultimate Fighter 11 Finale" betting odds and expert analysis
by Ben Zeidler on June 18, 2010

Aaron Simpson (-350) vs. Chris Leben (+250): How is Chris Leben this big of an underdog? I don't like him as a fighter or a person, but he's still got talent. I'm a bit worried about Simpson's wrestling and some day, he'll be an elite fighter at 185. He might even beat Leben on Saturday night. But those odds are just too tantalizing to turn down.

Bet .5 unit to win 1.25 units.

Keith Jardine (+115) vs. Matt Hamill (-145): A year ago, I'd take Jardine here simply based on his ability to gameplan. The gamplanning has not made a difference in his past few fights, losing three in a row. Hamill looked like an amateur against Jon Jones but he (and his wrestling) will flourish here. I expect to see a ground and pound clinic.

Bet 1.45 units to win 1 unit.

Dennis Siver (+155) vs. Spencer Fisher (-190): Fisher was on the fast track to a title shot before he was derailed by Joe Stevenson. He's still a fantastic wrestler and a top 20 in the division, but Siver's no slouch. After losing two straight in 2008, Siver rattled off four straight finishes before a recent decision loss. My first gut instinct is to take Fisher, but with the odds in place, it's clear that Siver has the ability to pull this thing off. He's got the tools and is the better value.

Bet 1 unit to win 1.55 units.

Other than these three, it's downright silly to bet on guys without a UFC fight under their belt. Feel free to play around with the other fights on which BetUS offers extensive options, but do it at your own risk.

 |  (9) Comments Yager: Pulling for Simpson, Hamill & Court. Yager: I'm not a troll...I just like rooting for the underachievers with a questionable heart!
HOW WILL THE THIAGO ALVES VS. MARTIN KAMPMANN FIGHT END AT UFC ON FX 2?
Alves def. Kampmann via TKO/KO
Alves def. Kampmann via submission
Alves def. Kampmann via decision
Kampmann def. Alves via TKO/KO
Kampmann def. Alves via submission
Kampmann def. Alves via decision
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