Nate Diaz (-260) vs. Melvin Guillard (+200): Despite taking home fight of the night honors in his last three fights, Diaz has lost his last two. He'll look to rebound against the surging Melvin Guillard, and should find success. Guillard has always had probems with technically sound submission artists and Diaz is one of the best. I like a play on Diaz here.

Bet 1.3 units to win .5 units.

Gray Maynard (-350) vs. Roger Huerta (+250): The UFC is famous for sending people out the door with a loss and that's exactly what they'll attempt to do here. The odds on Maynard seem a little high, until I remember that Huerta has literally no motivation to win this fight. Still, -350 is quite the risk.

No bet.

Nate Quarry (-300) vs. Tim Credeur (+220): Quarry has improved since his submission loss at the hands of Demian Maia but Credeur is younger, faster, and on quite the roll in the UFC. He'll make Quarry his next victim and you'll benefit on this great underdog play.

Bet 2 units to win 4.4 units.

Steve Cantwell (-300) vs. Brian Stann (+220): This is an interesting fight considering the two have already split previous fights. We're on to the rubber match and neither has shown much improvement or drop off since the last match, which Cantwell won. I'd expect Cantwell to win again but considering Stann once had his number, there's a legitimate chance for a steal here.

Bet 1 unit to win 2.2 units.

Carlos Condit (-400): Opponent doesn't matter, odds are out of control on this one and getting higher. I'd say go for the other guy but Condit won't lose this.